COURSE NUMBER:
MBA257.1B
COURSE TITLE: Decision Making
UNITS OF CREDIT: 2
INSTRUCTORS: Don Moore
E-MAIL ADDRESSES: dmoore@haas.berkeley.edu
MEETING DATES: Spring
B only (3/14-5/4)
CLASS WEB PAGE LOCATION: bcourses
PREREQUISITE(S): MBA205
CLASS FORMAT: A mixture of lectures, exercises, and in-class simulations
REQUIRED READINGS: Course reader
BASIS FOR FINAL GRADE (midterm, final, paper(s), project(s), class
participation, or a mixture): I will compute grades based on performance on
quizzes, exams, and homework problems.
ABSTRACT OF COURSE'S CONTENT AND OBJECTIVES:
This course has two objectives: The first is to improve the quality of your
decisions. You will learn to be aware of and to avoid common inferential errors
and systematic biases in your own decision making. While intuition often serves
us well, there are many decision traps that we tend to fall into on a repeated
basis. These traps relate to how we think about risk and probability, how we
learn from experience, and how we make choices. This course will teach you
about the traps. It's true that each decision is unique and poses its own
special problems. At the same time, there are many commonalities across
decisions. Understanding a few basic principles can take you a long way. By the
end of the course, you will have internalized the basic principles and will be
able to avoid falling into the traps. Knowing what can go wrong and knowing the
right questions to ask will help you think smarter.
The second course objective is to improve your ability to predict and influence
the behavior of others. Even if you are completely rational yourself and
require no tutoring whatsoever (there are always a few people who think this of
themselves), you will still find this course useful. Managers, consumers,
investors, and negotiators all fall into the traps. Therefore, understanding
the psychology of decision making can give you a competitive advantage.
CAREER FIELD: Anyone with a job that makes decisions that matter, including
executives in every industry. The course is also relevant to anyone who
advises others on their decisions, including consultants and coaches.
BIOGRAPHICAL
SKETCHES: Don Moore holds the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair in Leadership
at the Haas School of Business at the University of California at
Berkeley. His research interests include overconfidence, including when
people think they are better than they actually are, when people think they are
better than others, and when people are too sure they know the truth. His
research has appeared in popular press outlets and academic journals, from
Psychological Review to Harvard Business Review. He is the author or
editor of three books, and he teaches classes on managing organizations,
negotiation, and decision making. He is only occasionally overconfident.