COURSE
NUMBER: MBA243.1
COURSE
TITLE: DECISIONS, GAMES, AND STRATEGIES
UNITS
OF CREDIT: 3
INSTRUCTOR:
Thomas Marschak
E-MAIL
ADDRESS: marschak@haas.berkeley.edu
CLASS
WEB PAGE LOCATION (HTTP URL): http://bspace.berkeley.edu
MEETING
DAY(S)/TIME: Tuesday and Thursday 11:00AM - 12:30PM
PREREQUISITE(S):
No formal prerequisites. But the concept of an expected value (an average) will
be needed.
CLASS FORMAT: A mixture of lectures, class
discussions, and classroom experiments.
REQUIRED
READINGS: There will be a course reader, handouts prepared by the instructor,
and several cases.
BASIS
FOR FINAL GRADE: 2/3 weight will be given to the term paper, 1/6 to homework,
and 1/6 to class participation.
ABSTRACT
OF COURSE'S CONTENT AND OBJECTIVES:
There
are two related themes:
(1)
The first half of the course considers Decision Analysis, which helps a
manager to make a decision (launching a new product, choosing a new
technology, locating a new facility) when he/she will not know how good the
decision is until after it's made. The technique helps the decision maker to be
consistent with his/her own beliefs about events that have not yet occurred and
with his/her own attitudes toward risk. If you were retained by the
decision maker as a consultant, a Decision Analysis might be appropriate. In
performing the Analysis, how would you go about probing your client and how
would you defend your procedure and your final advice? The first half of
the course aims to answer these questions by developing some basic principles
that the client seems likely to accept. We will see that if the client does so,
then the client is led to accept the advice provided by the Analysis. To
illustrate the ideas, we will use classroom exercises as well as several cases, Each case will be presented and discussed by a
student team. Some of the cases are Decision Analyses that were actually
performed and others are fictitious. Special attention will be paid to
the option of learning more before making a final choice. A talk by a
decision-analysis practitioner is planned.
(2)
The second half of the course pursues the same theme but now the success of the
decision depends on the behavior of one or more opponents.
This
time simple game models will be appropriate. The questions to be
addressed include: How should I bid in an auction? What strategy should I use
in a bargaining situation? Is it useful to acquire a reputation for toughness
in repeated confrontations with the same competitors?
Cases,
and classroom (and Computer Lab) exercises, will illustrate the ideas.
In
both parts of the course, homework sets using "toy" problems, will
help to clarify concepts and techniques.
In
the term paper you will take a real-world problem that interests you,
and will thoughtfully describe
(without necessarily carrying it out) a
Decision
Analysis of the problem if it's not one that involves opponents, or a simple
game analysis if it is.
The course grade will depend on
the term paper, the homework problems, and your participation in
the case-presentation team to which you are assigned.
BIOGRAPHICAL
SKETCH:
Thomas
Marschak has been on the Haas faculty for many
years. He is an economist, whose research interests include the economics of
efficient organizations. He is concerned, most recently, with the impact of
improved information technology on the structure of well- designed
organizations.